Vox is a minority party, and are not going to win the general. The danger is only they’d be put into a coalition with the center right party, PP.
And that’s looking much less likely - Sanchez and the center-left aren’t overly popular, but opposition to the Iran War and the US in general is massively popular. Vox is the only party that’s been dumb enough to support Trump over Spain (ironic for supposed nationalists), and it’s going to cost them. Even the remnants of the Falange are breaking with them on this.
If PP wins, Vox is 100% going to be in the coalition. Once they’re in coalition, they will have great sway over policy. At that point it doesn’t really matter what the people say. The parties just push their agendas regardless. That’s why Sanchez and his government are so unpopular. It would be standard, as per the history of Spain’s past governments, for the new conservative government to continue that trend.
Vox has climbing up for so long now that they might surpass PSOE and become the second biggest party in the country. If they form a coalition with PP then it’s over. The poll you cited to be an outlier in the data.
Actually in the very article you posted, the biggest issue to people is housing followed by immigration. Sanchez just adopted a law giving residency to half a million illegal immigrants permanent residency despite it being an unpopular move. Consider how this is both Vox and PP forte, you know that the propaganda they’ll run is going to be historic. I have a very hard time seeing Sanchez and PSOE winning the election. If the right wing coalition wins then Spain is going to look a lot more Italy’s or Germany’s current governments.
Vox is a minority party, and are not going to win the general. The danger is only they’d be put into a coalition with the center right party, PP.
And that’s looking much less likely - Sanchez and the center-left aren’t overly popular, but opposition to the Iran War and the US in general is massively popular. Vox is the only party that’s been dumb enough to support Trump over Spain (ironic for supposed nationalists), and it’s going to cost them. Even the remnants of the Falange are breaking with them on this.
If PP wins, Vox is 100% going to be in the coalition. Once they’re in coalition, they will have great sway over policy. At that point it doesn’t really matter what the people say. The parties just push their agendas regardless. That’s why Sanchez and his government are so unpopular. It would be standard, as per the history of Spain’s past governments, for the new conservative government to continue that trend.
Sanchez was already polling ahead of the PP and Vox prior to the Iran War - https://www.theolivepress.es/spain-news/2026/02/19/surprise-polling-reveals-left-wing-pedro-sanchezs-psoe-holds-10-point-lead-over-pp/.
And his opposition to Trump, while Vox was eager to lick his boots, is a big plus here.
This is not true the PSOE has not overtaken PP in the polls since 2022.
https://www.politico.eu/europe-poll-of-polls/spain/
Vox has climbing up for so long now that they might surpass PSOE and become the second biggest party in the country. If they form a coalition with PP then it’s over. The poll you cited to be an outlier in the data.
Actually in the very article you posted, the biggest issue to people is housing followed by immigration. Sanchez just adopted a law giving residency to half a million illegal immigrants permanent residency despite it being an unpopular move. Consider how this is both Vox and PP forte, you know that the propaganda they’ll run is going to be historic. I have a very hard time seeing Sanchez and PSOE winning the election. If the right wing coalition wins then Spain is going to look a lot more Italy’s or Germany’s current governments.