On the Republican side, Ken Paxton and John Cornyn were neck-and-neck and in position for a runoff, according to the poll from the University of Texas’ Texas Politics Project.
Picking candidates in a primary is not about electability. It’s about party representation. And it takes more than that to win an election, especially in Texas. This isn’t a swing state where we get that sort of luxury. This is a fight where it’s a 60/40 split in an average year. Cross over votes and mobilizing the independent demographic is our only chance.
If Crockett gets the nomination, I have low expectations of a dem victory. I see better odds where we can pick up the disgruntled Christian old school Republican vote. And talerico can do that. Crockett cannot.
This is a fight where it’s a 60/40 split in an average year.
Last election for Cornyn was 54% vs 44% (against a woman). And two years ago was 53% vs 45% (against a black man). Crocket has far more appeal and name recognition than either of the previous races. Before that was 2018, which was 51% vs 48% against someone who suggested going door to door to get guns from people. You have to go back over a decade to get a race that was such a landslide, which was against a white guy who came in 4th place in a house primary two years before and doesn’t even have a picture on wikipedia.
My point stands. 10% loss against a woman. 9% against a black man. Let’s take those 2018 numbers and not shoot ourselves in our own foot by doubling down. The electorate already spoke. If Beto had the closest numbers despite his shittery, let’s get a more viable candidate without the sexist and racist baggage. I apologize, but it seems obvious to me.
Once again. This is Texas. I am perpetually disappointed by my state. But the numbers don’t lie when it comes to a general election.
Picking candidates in a primary is not about electability. It’s about party representation. And it takes more than that to win an election, especially in Texas. This isn’t a swing state where we get that sort of luxury. This is a fight where it’s a 60/40 split in an average year. Cross over votes and mobilizing the independent demographic is our only chance.
If Crockett gets the nomination, I have low expectations of a dem victory. I see better odds where we can pick up the disgruntled Christian old school Republican vote. And talerico can do that. Crockett cannot.
Last election for Cornyn was 54% vs 44% (against a woman). And two years ago was 53% vs 45% (against a black man). Crocket has far more appeal and name recognition than either of the previous races. Before that was 2018, which was 51% vs 48% against someone who suggested going door to door to get guns from people. You have to go back over a decade to get a race that was such a landslide, which was against a white guy who came in 4th place in a house primary two years before and doesn’t even have a picture on wikipedia.
My point stands. 10% loss against a woman. 9% against a black man. Let’s take those 2018 numbers and not shoot ourselves in our own foot by doubling down. The electorate already spoke. If Beto had the closest numbers despite his shittery, let’s get a more viable candidate without the sexist and racist baggage. I apologize, but it seems obvious to me.
Once again. This is Texas. I am perpetually disappointed by my state. But the numbers don’t lie when it comes to a general election.