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People have mentioned torture of Maduro or his wife in other threads and I do agree that a tortured confession would be an easy way out of this for them. The thing that gives me pause is that a cartoon villain always treats a named antagonist with kid gloves, which is how Trump seems to behave in my opinion. If we see Maduro fight the charges versus giving up relatively soon with a confession we should know which way it went
Kind of a turning point moment IMO
Does Trump have his final victory over “The rule of law” and bulldoze his way to a grand spectacle execution in a stadium?
Or will this enterprise be mired in procedure and their own incompetence until the whole thing falls apart?
I think my prediction is more towards the latter, but I think both ends of the spectrum are within the realm of possibility
They will have to really tie themselves in knots to put aside the absolutely foundational legal doctrine of sovereign immunity. If any court would though, it’s these fuckers.
I still don’t see how they avoid a years-long circus in the lower courts
So that’s the thing that’s most confusing to me, of all the powers and systems and institutions in the US, the only one that has ever meaningfully constrained Trump at all is the courts. (Of course I grant that they have given him completely unprecedented leeway and rolled over in many many instances)
If the Trump DOJ brings charges in federal court, which they seem to be signaling is their plan, then then Maduro will have a right to a lawyer, the right to discovery, the right to cross-examine witnesses, the right to appeal…
I guess they could try and have it both ways? Instead of sovereign immunity meaning that the US courts have no jurisdiction whatsoever, try to use sovereign immunity as a justification for why Maduro doesn’t get defendant rights? It all seems super messy and like Trump and his clatch of idiots are marching down a line of rakes
How will they neutralize all the procedural protections for defendants in the US courts and prevent Maduro from turning it into a mockery of itself?
Yes, that was what I meant.
Some nationalists if they can’t even keep the US looters out…
Something something Lenin was right
Why take him alive? Aren’t they essentially going to have to put together an embarrassing kangaroo court now? Do we think they are going to try and go the secret military tribunal route?
So I definitely agree that one a nuclear exchange happens things get extremely complicated.
I do NOT agree that makes any sort of equivalency between this Zionist first-use doctrine (if it exists) and Dead Hand.
So your whole argument is that in a nuclear exchange it could be hard in practice to identify the initial aggressor, therefore there is no meaningful difference between a nuclear first strike and a nuclear second strike? Is that what you are saying?
Thanks so much for this info, I did not know he was in poor health.
Are you saying you think the nation will keep moving Westwards, even after he is gone?
I would also love to hear more! I have very little understanding of Türkiye but I thought Erdoğan’s position was secure. Is the breaking point Kurdistan? Inflation? NATO/Palestine/Ukraine?
Ok so no this is completely wrong.
Russia’s “Dead Hand” is a “guaranteed second-strike” that activates only if their nuclear C&C is destroyed. This system is precisely designed to reinforce the logic of MAD and is thus counter-escalatory.
This from the Zionist entity is the complete and total opposite in every possible way. They talk about it as though it is defensive but this is a nuclear first-strike. They don’t just target their enemies but their allies too. This is the most grotesque and despicable extortion leveled against the whole world
I wonder how many humiliations the Europeans will suffer before they wake up
[…] has left the EU isolated, irrelevant, and alone, pursuing policies contrary to self-interest.
Many people are saying this
It’s almost as if one of these nations has an ancient and deeply ingrained tradition of legalism and the other makes international law simply to use as a weapon against weaker powers
Once you “clear the backlog” it settles down to a very consistent one-and-done-a-day
All the other countries in Asia do sex-selective abortion too, it’s not unique to China
They just have to find the one guy that is a massive Michigan football stan, absolutely tasteless, who recently came into much more money than they know what to do with
First off, the Chinese don’t seek global hegemony like the Western powers, no matter what the projection and propaganda says. (This is far too big of a topic for short comment but the Chinese have never done Roman-style imperialism in all of their history. Also, according to my research, China hasn’t made a new territorial claim in over 70 years, since the KMT era)
Second off, I did some comparisons on this website. I honestly wasn’t sure what I was going to see but China’s pyramid is better than all the “developed” countries and it really blows their East Asian neighbors out of the water. Therefore, I don’t buy the argument that China is doomed by its demographics, unless we are saying that all the peer comparison nations are even more doomed.
I happen to believe that the Chinese are right and we are entering a New Chinese Century, with the Middle Kingdom once again the economic center of a prosperous and powerful Asia. They are on the cusp (speaking in years) of completely defeating “containment”, and have built an industrial ecosystem unlike anything the world has ever seen. Of course that all goes out the window if the nukes start flying.
I think that’s what makes it such a perfect test case.
All the politics and all the neocons and all the propaganda versus international law older than the nation itself