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Cake day: June 12th, 2023

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  • “An important caveat, however, is that the acceleration may prove temporary,” said Beaulieu, who has published on the topic but was not involved in the new study. She added that the strong El Niño of 1998 also produced a period of apparent anomalous warming.

    “The relative slowdown that followed was interpreted as evidence of a pause in global warming,” she said. “Continued monitoring over the next several years will be essential to determine whether the accelerated warming rate identified here represents a lasting shift or a transient feature of natural variability.”

    It might be temporary. It might be transient. Then again, it might not be. We’d be taking a huge risk by proceeding on the assumption that it will only be temporary. If we’re wrong the consequences could be severe. Maybe some people are willing to risk the future on hope, but I don’t think that’s a wise decision.

    You ever hear the saying: hope for the best, prepare for the worst? We’re not prepared. Not even close. It’s true the worst case scenario isn’t likely, but it is possible. And worse case, though not necessarily worst care scenarios are also possible, and more likely. We’re not prepared for those either.



  • The practical incentives are there already, but far too many people are too greedy and shortsighted to recognize them. There are long term negative consequences to prioritizing short term individual gains over long term, sustainable prosperity for all. And achieving that sustainable prosperity does not require people to replace self interest with altruism, it requires that people to adopt a more enlightened, forward looking self interest. It’s getting people to understand that overindulgence and a zero sum mentality today, without thought for the consequences tomorrow is not self interest, it’s self destruction.

    If that can’t work then civilization is fucked.



  • Everyone suddenly has their own personal drivers.

    I don’t want a driver. Even if I had enough money to pay a personal chauffeur, I wouldn’t want one. I prefer to drive my own car.

    But maybe I’m in the minority on that one. Maybe most people would prefer self-driving cars. That’s fine, I guess, but I just hope someone keeps making regular cars, because I ain’t interested in being driven around by a robot.

    Ideally I’d be able to live in a city or town designed around people, not cars. So I wouldn’t have to own a car, autonomous driving or otherwise, to get around.



  • Pretty sure they didn’t have autonomy for quite a few decades now.

    That’s true. The Iranian nation hasn’t had its own autonomy for some time. I didn’t mean to imply otherwise.

    In you’re little analogy is the abusive dad always saying he wants to kill me and was handing out guns to people in the neighbourhood, telling them to take shots at me, which resulted in one of my kids getting killed? Then the abusive dad starts putting together a bazooka, all the while saying he’s going to kill me?

    I mean, if you want to expand the analogy, let’s talk about how the neighborhood vigilante has been interfering in the affairs of the family of the abusive father, long before the abusive father was even in power. Like in 1951 when the family’s parliament voted to nationalize their oil industry and as a result the vigilante and his old friend helped carry out a coup of the family’s democratically elected prime minister (operation Ajax), and replaced him with an autocrat. Or in 1980 when the vigilante aided another abusive dad, a fella by the name of Saddam Hussein, in his invasion of the home of the abusive father and his family. An invasion and war that resulted in half a million deaths, and that Hussein guy using chemical weapons against the poor family.

    It’s dishonest to talk only of the crimes of the abusive father but not acknowledge the crimes of vigilante. And that’s the thing about vigilantism: answering crimes with crimes is not a viable or moral solution. It’s lawlessness and chaos, and a self perpetuating cycle of violence.

    Very bizarre to attempt of some analogy to be all “think of the children” over a guy that was such a terrible person.

    Well, that terrible person is dead. Now what? You gonna take care of those kids? Or are you just going to wait until another abusive father comes and takes the places of the one you just killed?







  • It doesn’t matter whether a monster is killed by someone with noble intentions or a monster is killed by another monster.

    It does matter. It matters. And it’s so, so important that people understand that it matters. This attitude of, “the ends justify the means,” is very dangerous. The Iranian nation has had their autonomy taken away from them, first by Khamenei and now by the US and Israel. They are powerless, subject to the whims of people more powerful than them. They don’t make their own decisions about their own nation, the decisions are made for them by people who have enough guns and strongmen to impose their will on them.

    Edit: think of it like this: let’s say you’re living down the street from a family with an abusive father. The guy is just cruel to his wife and kids. So one day you decide to take matters into your own hands and you go and shoot the dad dead. That’s good, right? The cruel, abusive father is dead, so it’s good and justified, right? But you didn’t ask the wife or the kids if they wanted their father to be killed. You didn’t care what they wanted, because you didn’t do it for them. You did it for you. You did it because it was what YOU wanted. And if they get mad at you for it, you say oh they’re just ingrates. They don’t appreciate what I did for THEM. But, it wasn’t for them. It was never for them. It was for you.

    Edit 2: so what would the alternative be? What could we do to stop this cruel father that doesn’t require us to take matters into our own hands? Law. We need the rule of law. What would any reasonable person in a modern society do in this situation? They’d call the police. That’s what we need: the rule of law. Not countries deciding unilaterally who lives and who dies, but laws. Laws that apply to all of us, equally.