You’re right, better to allow a violent oppressor to slowly eradicate your people than attempt to free or defend yourself by whatever means necessary…

Modern problems aren’t solved with blood but with marketing.

Tell that to the Ukrainians and the Palestinians. I know you want this to be the case, but you couldn’t be more wrong if you tried.

That’s not how odds work. The fact there are only two outcomes does not mean the odds of each of those outcomes occurring is the same…

The downvotes are a direct consequence of their fear and denial, which I absolutely understand. However, I feel it is my duty to speak the truth so that people can begin the process of accepting what is coming.

Go look at the response to some of my other comments. My opinions and perspectives have been consistent throughout all of them, and yet you can see some of my comments have piles of upvotes and others are downvoted into oblivion.

The cognitive dissonance is so extreme that it is palpable and observable in real time. Across the board almost everyone has downplayed the threat posed by Donald Trump. Every single day things get worse, yet he is only ever stronger and more emboldened. People are simply not prepared for what is coming. But how can you blame them…

We shall see.

Look honestly at the historical context and externalities of the moment you are in, and tell me you think it is a coin toss.

Whatever you are implying you should just come out and say it. You think I’m a Russian troll? You think I’m astroturfing? Think whatever you want. I literally couldn’t give a fuck less.

You linked to the 2016 election. Here are the adjusted values for 2024.

We shall see.

I know you want to stick me in that bubble to make yourself feel better. I hated Donald Trump long before 2016. I knew about his ties to Jeffrey Epstein before that name was even in the public lexicon. I’ve been following the downfall of the Amerikan Empire since as long as I have been politically aware. This is just the latest dominoe to fall.

You will employ whatever coping mechanisms are at your disposal to accept the reality you are in. The only difference between us is that I am just a little further along in the process.

We’ll see won’t we?

It is just really hard for people to accept that this is happening in their lifetime. They can’t believe a reality television star is going to overthrow democracy, and usher in cronyism and strongman authoritarianism.

Here, I’ll give you an example you can perhaps identify with. You spent multiple comments strawmaning my arguments, putting words in my mouth, and gaslighting me for saying Biden had absolutely no chance of victory two days ago.

You then attempted to suggest that I did not care about political violence, and that I was uneducated about important modern historical events in an attempt to delegitimize my points about removing Biden as the nominee.

This is you today:

I’m not a fan either.

Individual polls are meaningless. I only care about the trends of the the aggregate polling. Five Thirty Eight has had Trump leading by an average of 2 points in aggregate polling basically from the beginning. There has never been a time where Biden was ahead during this election cycle. Therefore, using the available metrics it is clear that Donald Trump is on the path to returning to the White House.

I don’t want to kill your hope. I don’t share it, but maybe you can muster enough for both of us.

Yes, I do. Which is precisely how I know you are engaged in that behavior now. It is a very hard thing to accept that you are living in a country that is going to usher in fascism with thunderous applause. But regardless of how you feel about it, that is what is happening before your very eyes. It is important to be objective about that so you are able to evaluate what you can do to fight back once that becomes necessary.

My analysis isn’t based on extra-sensory perception. I am able to look at the facts as they are presented from a rational, unemotional perspective. It is how I knew Hillary was going to lose in 2016, and it is how I know Biden is going to lose in 2024.